Jaguars: What are the Chances...?

The Steelers are a 12-point favorite against the struggling 1-4 Jaguars. Colt McCoy's first game against the Steelers aside, Pittsburgh usually makes life difficult for rookie QB's - and Blaine Gabbert's experience should be no different. Though Gabbert has tremendous upside, I doubt we'll see a strong performance from him today. The pick is Pittsburgh, though I don't necessarily believe the Steelers will cover the spread.

What are the Chances is 3-2 thus far in 2011 and 62-28 all-time.

Browns: What are the Chances...?

Last year aside, the Steelers have historically experienced a lot of success at Cleveland—and today’s game should be no different. Browns rookie QB Colt McCoy demonstrated great poise and put up solid numbers in the game at Pittsburgh (in his first NFL start, no less), but the Steelers defense might fare better this time, as there’s now enough game tape on McCoy to create a game plan designed to exploit his weaknesses. It wouldn’t be a surprise if the Steelers failed to cover the five-point spread, but I estimate that Pittsburgh has a 70 percent chance of winning, thereby earning a #2 seed in the AFC.

What are the Chances…? is 9-5 this season and 57-25 all-time.

Browns: What are the Chances...?

Pittsburgh has won just two of its past seven games against AFC North foes, including a 13-6 loss at Cleveland near the end of last season. But the return of QB Ben Roethlisberger (10-1 vs. the Browns) ought to invigorate the Steelers’ worst-in-the-NFL passing game and provide a big lift to Pittsburgh’s offense. Meanwhile, it figures to be a long day for Browns rookie QB Colt McCoy, who will be making his first NFL start. Unless WR/KR/QB Joshua Cribbs has a career-type day—or the Steelers repeatedly turn the ball over—the Steelers should win and cover the 14-point spread. Steelers: 90 percent chance of victory.

What are the Chances…? Is 2-2 this season and 50-22 all-time.