Bucs v. Steelers (what are the chances?)

The Steelyard estimates that the Steelers have a 65 percent chance of defeating the Tampa Bay Bucs (3-8) this Sunday at Heinz Field. In spite of its struggles Pittsburgh has a 3-2 record at home this season, while the Bucs are 0-5 on the road. Plus, the Steelers have a big advantage at the QB position with Tampa Bay starting rookie Bruce Gradkowski, a Pittsburgh native. On the other hand, the Bucs have 10 days to prepare for the game, having most recently played on Thanksgiving Day.