Thursday, October 19, 2006

Steelers v. Falcons (what are the chances?)

The Steelyard estimates that the Steelers have a 55 percent chance of defeating the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. If Ben Roethlisberger really is "back" (i.e., reasonably healthy) Pittsburgh should be able to post a win in the echo chamber that is the Georgia Dome. If not, the Steelers will struggle to eke out a win. The game features strength versus strength in that the Falcons possess the strongest rushing attack in the NFL, while the Steelers do an excellent job of defending the run.

Pittsburgh is 10-1-1 all time versus the Falcons, with the only loss coming at Atlanta's Fulton County Stadium in 1970.


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